歷史偏差
顯示資料最充分的 20 家機構。正值表示較偏向民主黨，負值表示較偏向共和黨；線段為 80% 估計範圍。
外觀
機構評等
比較各民調機構的歷史偏差、穩定程度與資料涵蓋範圍。評等顯示偏差方向及可供檢驗的選舉數量。
資料範圍：2012–2022 年國會選舉
405家有歷史紀錄的機構
4,800份國會地方民調
82家有中等以上資料
45家偏差方向較明確
資料涵蓋範圍
比較各機構涵蓋的選舉屆數與選戰數。圓點大小代表民調份數，顏色代表歷史偏差方向。
偏民主黨偏共和黨接近零
全部機構
依可供比較的選舉屆數與選戰數標示資料充分程度。
| 80% 範圍 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 充分 | R +0.06pp | -0.31 至 0.19 | 217 | 109 | 9 |
| Impact Research | 充分 | D +0.69pp | -0.01 至 1.40 | 45 | 36 | 9 |
| Emerson College | 充分 | R +1.11pp | -1.47 至 -0.76 | 174 | 107 | 8 |
| SurveyUSA | 充分 | D +0.43pp | 0.06 至 0.79 | 157 | 94 | 8 |
| GBAO | 充分 | R +1.00pp | -1.66 至 -0.33 | 49 | 37 | 8 |
| Public Policy Polling | 充分 | R +0.31pp | -0.61 至 -0.02 | 193 | 107 | 7 |
| Gravis Marketing | 充分 | R +0.10pp | -0.53 至 0.34 | 94 | 57 | 7 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 充分 | R +0.64pp | -1.06 至 -0.21 | 93 | 45 | 7 |
| Marist College | 充分 | D +0.93pp | 0.53 至 1.34 | 90 | 53 | 7 |
| Quinnipiac University | 充分 | D +0.33pp | -0.12 至 0.77 | 77 | 33 | 7 |
| Monmouth University Polling Institute | 充分 | R +0.10pp | -0.73 至 0.53 | 69 | 52 | 7 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 充分 | D +0.53pp | -0.08 至 1.15 | 69 | 29 | 7 |
| Public Opinion Strategies | 充分 | R +0.53pp | -1.17 至 0.11 | 63 | 53 | 7 |
| Global Strategy Group | 充分 | R +0.41pp | -1.06 至 0.24 | 57 | 47 | 7 |
| Suffolk University | 充分 | D +0.21pp | -0.47 至 0.89 | 46 | 36 | 7 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 充分 | D +0.55pp | -0.05 至 1.15 | 43 | 24 | 7 |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | 充分 | R +0.18pp | -0.93 至 0.57 | 38 | 34 | 7 |
| GQR | 充分 | R +0.28pp | -1.07 至 0.52 | 36 | 32 | 7 |
| St. Pete Polls | 充分 | R +0.53pp | -1.10 至 0.04 | 36 | 21 | 7 |
| MassINC Polling Group | 中等 | R +0.15pp | -1.00 至 0.70 | 23 | 13 | 7 |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | 中等 | D +0.41pp | -0.48 至 1.29 | 15 | 10 | 7 |
| Trafalgar Group | 充分 | D +0.61pp | 0.23 至 0.99 | 81 | 38 | 6 |
| Siena College | 充分 | R +0.80pp | -1.36 至 -0.23 | 68 | 39 | 6 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 充分 | R +1.55pp | -2.12 至 -0.99 | 57 | 22 | 6 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 充分 | R +0.55pp | -1.19 至 0.09 | 39 | 28 | 6 |
| DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 充分 | D +0.70pp | -0.05 至 1.45 | 35 | 35 | 6 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 充分 | R +0.74pp | -1.58 至 0.09 | 28 | 20 | 6 |
| Tarrance Group | 充分 | R +0.43pp | -1.28 至 0.42 | 27 | 24 | 6 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 充分 | R +1.28pp | -2.06 至 -0.50 | 25 | 19 | 6 |
| Remington Research Group | 充分 | R +1.89pp | -2.57 至 -1.21 | 22 | 19 | 6 |
| Moore Information Group | 充分 | R +0.55pp | -1.42 至 0.32 | 21 | 15 | 6 |
| National Research | 充分 | R +0.28pp | -1.15 至 0.60 | 20 | 16 | 6 |
| Normington, Petts & Associates | 充分 | R +0.07pp | -1.04 至 0.90 | 20 | 19 | 6 |
| Pan Atlantic Research | 充分 | D +1.15pp | 0.19 至 2.10 | 20 | 17 | 6 |
| Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy | 中等 | D +0.73pp | -0.13 至 1.60 | 20 | 13 | 6 |
| WPA Intelligence | 中等 | R +0.05pp | -1.03 至 0.93 | 17 | 14 | 6 |
| American Viewpoint | 中等 | R +0.38pp | -1.34 至 0.58 | 15 | 13 | 6 |
| Lake Research Partners | 中等 | D +0.19pp | -0.79 至 1.17 | 15 | 14 | 6 |
| Hendrix College | 中等 | D +0.21pp | -0.72 至 1.15 | 14 | 11 | 6 |
| JMC Analytics | 中等 | D +0.14pp | -0.88 至 1.16 | 12 | 10 | 6 |
| Montana State University Billings | 中等 | D +0.27pp | -0.78 至 1.33 | 11 | 11 | 6 |
| Change Research | 充分 | D +0.46pp | 0.00 至 0.92 | 90 | 68 | 5 |
| Cygnal | 充分 | R +0.41pp | -1.04 至 0.22 | 40 | 31 | 5 |
| OnMessage Inc. | 充分 | R +1.34pp | -2.12 至 -0.56 | 25 | 22 | 5 |
| Landmark Communications | 中等 | R +0.17pp | -0.91 至 0.58 | 23 | 10 | 5 |
| Research & Polling Inc. | 充分 | R +0.42pp | -1.27 至 0.42 | 23 | 15 | 5 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 初步 | D +0.64pp | -0.15 至 1.44 | 20 | 7 | 5 |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | 充分 | D +0.30pp | -0.47 至 1.07 | 17 | 15 | 5 |
| Mellman Group | 中等 | D +1.15pp | 0.25 至 2.05 | 16 | 13 | 5 |
| Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion | 初步 | D +0.07pp | -0.90 至 1.05 | 16 | 7 | 5 |
| SoonerPoll.com | 中等 | D +1.01pp | 0.22 至 1.81 | 16 | 13 | 5 |
| Digital Research | 中等 | D +0.40pp | -0.60 至 1.40 | 14 | 11 | 5 |
| Harper Polling | 中等 | D +0.74pp | -0.21 至 1.69 | 14 | 11 | 5 |
| Alaska Survey Research | 中等 | D +0.56pp | -0.43 至 1.54 | 13 | 9 | 5 |
| EPIC-MRA | 初步 | D +0.63pp | -0.34 至 1.61 | 13 | 5 | 5 |
| Glengariff Group | 初步 | D +1.20pp | 0.21 至 2.20 | 12 | 7 | 5 |
| Tulchin Research | 中等 | R +0.14pp | -1.19 至 0.90 | 12 | 10 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 初步 | D +0.52pp | -0.54 至 1.58 | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership | 中等 | D +0.26pp | -0.71 至 1.23 | 10 | 8 | 5 |
| Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | 初步 | D +0.81pp | -0.29 至 1.92 | 10 | 6 | 5 |
| University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab | 中等 | R +0.13pp | -1.13 至 0.87 | 10 | 8 | 5 |
| Data Orbital | 初步 | R +0.58pp | -1.64 至 0.47 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| RRH Elections | 中等 | R +0.65pp | -1.70 至 0.39 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
| University of Delaware Center for Political Communication | 中等 | D +1.09pp | 0.09 至 2.10 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| Western New England University Polling Institute | 初步 | D +0.10pp | -1.00 至 1.20 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| Victoria Research & Consulting | 初步 | D +0.18pp | -0.97 至 1.34 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 中等 | R +0.16pp | -0.59 至 0.26 | 130 | 91 | 4 |
| Ipsos | 中等 | D +1.27pp | 0.72 至 1.83 | 48 | 21 | 4 |
| Research Co. | 中等 | D +0.06pp | -0.67 至 0.78 | 40 | 37 | 4 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 中等 | R +0.21pp | -1.02 至 0.60 | 26 | 14 | 4 |
| co/efficient | 中等 | R +1.39pp | -2.18 至 -0.61 | 18 | 16 | 4 |
| Dan Jones & Associates | 中等 | D +0.14pp | -0.84 至 1.12 | 17 | 13 | 4 |
| Targoz Market Research | 中等 | R +0.03pp | -0.92 至 0.85 | 14 | 12 | 4 |
| Selzer & Co. | 中等 | R +0.78pp | -1.70 至 0.15 | 13 | 8 | 4 |
| Harstad Strategic Research | 中等 | D +0.63pp | -0.32 至 1.58 | 12 | 9 | 4 |
| Marquette University Law School | 初步 | D +0.06pp | -0.83 至 0.95 | 12 | 4 | 4 |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 中等 | R +0.57pp | -1.59 至 0.46 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute | 初步 | D +1.62pp | 0.62 至 2.61 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| DFM Research | 中等 | R +0.23pp | -1.33 至 0.88 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | 初步 | D +1.20pp | 0.11 至 2.30 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| Strategies 360 | 中等 | D +0.37pp | -0.74 至 1.48 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| FM3 Research | 初步 | D +0.75pp | -0.43 至 1.93 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| GS Strategy Group | 初步 | R +0.40pp | -1.56 至 0.77 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Elway Research | 初步 | D +0.22pp | -0.99 至 1.43 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | 初步 | D +0.26pp | -0.91 至 1.42 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Frederick Polls | 初步 | R +0.27pp | -1.42 至 0.88 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| HighGround Inc. | 初步 | R +0.29pp | -1.47 至 0.88 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Y2 Analytics | 初步 | R +1.08pp | -2.28 至 0.12 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 初步 | R +0.06pp | -1.27 至 1.15 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| SurveyMonkey | 中等 | D +3.22pp | 2.83 至 3.61 | 78 | 35 | 3 |
| Data for Progress | 中等 | R +1.28pp | -1.72 至 -0.84 | 66 | 35 | 3 |
| Morning Consult | 中等 | D +0.86pp | 0.44 至 1.28 | 61 | 19 | 3 |
| We Ask America | 中等 | R +1.61pp | -2.19 至 -1.04 | 40 | 23 | 3 |
| AtlasIntel | 中等 | R +2.27pp | -2.78 至 -1.75 | 39 | 13 | 3 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 中等 | D +0.46pp | -0.17 至 1.10 | 36 | 13 | 3 |
| RMG Research | 中等 | D +0.42pp | -0.25 至 1.08 | 31 | 24 | 3 |
| New England College Polling Center | 初步 | R +0.65pp | -1.39 至 0.10 | 27 | 6 | 3 |
| SSRS | 中等 | D +1.23pp | 0.43 至 2.03 | 20 | 14 | 3 |
| Øptimus Analytics | 初步 | R +0.32pp | -0.92 至 0.29 | 15 | 6 | 3 |
| Saint Anselm College Survey Center | 中等 | R +0.17pp | -1.10 至 0.76 | 14 | 8 | 3 |
| Clout Research | 中等 | R +1.93pp | -2.85 至 -1.01 | 13 | 10 | 3 |
| The Polling Company Inc. | 中等 | R +0.47pp | -1.53 至 0.58 | 11 | 9 | 3 |
| Wick | 中等 | R +1.60pp | -2.45 至 -0.75 | 11 | 9 | 3 |
| Lighthouse Research | 中等 | D +0.68pp | -0.41 至 1.77 | 10 | 10 | 3 |
| Fleming & Associates | 初步 | R +0.36pp | -1.47 至 0.74 | 9 | 5 | 3 |
| Target Insyght | 初步 | R +0.03pp | -1.15 至 1.09 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| Cherry Communications | 初步 | D +0.19pp | -0.99 至 1.36 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Data Targeting | 初步 | R +0.47pp | -1.66 至 0.72 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| North Star Opinion Research | 初步 | R +1.00pp | -2.21 至 0.21 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Patinkin Research Strategies | 初步 | R +0.38pp | -1.52 至 0.77 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Victory Research | 初步 | D +0.13pp | -0.92 至 1.17 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| brilliant corners Research & Strategies | 初步 | R +0.32pp | -1.47 至 0.83 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| EMC Research | 初步 | D +0.29pp | -0.88 至 1.46 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Expedition Strategies | 初步 | R +0.05pp | -1.26 至 1.17 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Meredith College Department of History, Political Science, and International Studies | 初步 | D +0.33pp | -0.78 至 1.45 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | 初步 | D +0.24pp | -0.94 至 1.41 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 初步 | D +0.94pp | -0.20 至 2.08 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 1892 Polling | 初步 | R +0.40pp | -1.64 至 0.84 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Abt Associates | 初步 | R +0.19pp | -1.31 至 0.93 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Bendixen & Amandi International | 初步 | D +0.09pp | -1.09 至 1.26 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative | 初步 | R +0.25pp | -1.40 至 0.91 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Jayhawk Consulting Services | 初步 | D +0.88pp | -0.41 至 2.17 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Keating Research | 初步 | D +0.17pp | -0.98 至 1.33 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| RABA Research | 初步 | D +1.29pp | 0.08 至 2.49 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | 初步 | D +0.74pp | -0.49 至 1.97 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center | 初步 | D +1.09pp | -0.08 至 2.27 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Axis Research | 初步 | R +0.29pp | -1.55 至 0.97 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Braun Research | 初步 | R +0.25pp | -1.44 至 0.94 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goucher College Sarah T. Hughes Center for Politics | 初步 | D +0.02pp | -1.23 至 1.26 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Meeting Street Insights | 初步 | D +0.48pp | -0.76 至 1.72 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Mercyhurst University Center for Applied Politics | 初步 | D +0.02pp | -1.21 至 1.24 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Repass | 初步 | D +0.48pp | -0.74 至 1.70 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Saint Leo University Polling Institute | 初步 | 0.00pp | -1.26 至 1.26 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | 初步 | R +0.53pp | -1.73 至 0.68 | 3 | 3 | 3 |